- The Author
Bill Gates and Moore's Law
If when I published my book I had been aware of Bill Gate's 1996 quote ......
"We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten"
.... I would have included it as an addition to Moore's Law.
It has proved to be totally true in the real world, particularly in the field of technology developments all the way from relational databases and personal computers to blockchains and quantum computers.
Many variants of the central idea have appeared from as far back as at least the 1980s but Bill Gates version is a pleasingly precise, concise formulation.